Candidate Packet

Source content

{

"content": {

"accepted_base": "7dca84b0c8477efc09b31215f734348d626957d4",

"bounded_search": {

"limitations": "This is a declared high-relevance search, not proof that no other study exists. Closed full text, terminology drift, and unindexed older literature may hide additional material work.",

"queries": [

"Mehrabian 7 38 55 direct replication",

"7-38-55 replication Mehrabian",

"Decoding of inconsistent communications replication",

"Inference of attitudes from nonverbal communication in two channels replication",

"Message Impact What Percentage is Nonverbal Hegstrom",

"Argyle verbal nonverbal attitudes 1970 1971"

],

"result": "One direct all-channel rebuttal, two related context-dependent empirical programs, and two methodological/propagation critiques were retained. No exact replication of the P1-plus-P2 derivation or validation of a universal fixed rule was identified.",

"sources_searched": [

"Crossref",

"ERIC",

"PubMed",

"OpenAlex",

"publisher landing pages",

"credential-free web search"

],

"status": "bounded-negative-result-not-exhaustive"

},

"captured_at": "2026-08-27T16:03:55Z",

"claims": [

{

"claim_id": "claim-popular-rule",

"proposition": "The circulated claim that 93 percent of communication is nonverbal is not a result established by the two 1967 experiments.",

"span_ids": [

"span-wiener-target",

"span-ferris-target",

"span-author-qualification",

"span-hegstrom-result"

],

"status": "rebutted-as-general-rule"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-p1-tone-dominance",

"proposition": "P1 found tone dominance when listeners inferred attitude from inconsistent isolated-word content and intonation without additional relationship information.",

"span_ids": [

"span-wiener-single-words",

"span-wiener-result-boundary",

"span-wiener-safe-extension"

],

"status": "supported-narrowly"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-p2-face-tone",

"proposition": "P2 found a stronger facial than vocal contribution in a two-channel task using the neutral word maybe and facial photographs.",

"span_ids": [

"span-ferris-maybe",

"span-ferris-design",

"span-ferris-sums-of-squares",

"span-ferris-regression"

],

"status": "supported-narrowly"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-three-coefficient-proposal",

"proposition": "The .07/.38/.55 values were proposed in P2's discussion as a cross-study weighted-sum extrapolation; neither 1967 experiment tested all three channels together.",

"span_ids": [

"span-ferris-target",

"span-ferris-design",

"span-ferris-proposal"

],

"status": "supported-as-historical-proposal"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-seven-origin",

"proposition": "The exact derivation of the .07 verbal coefficient is not disclosed in the two inspected 1967 papers or the inspected 1971 book pages.",

"span_ids": [

"span-ferris-regression",

"span-ferris-proposal",

"span-silent-1971-liking"

],

"status": "unresolved-no-credit"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-book-boundary",

"proposition": "The 1971 book repeats the equation, calls the numbers approximate, and limits use to one feeling dimension at a time.",

"span_ids": [

"span-silent-1971-liking",

"span-silent-1971-boundary"

],

"status": "supported"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-1981-edition",

"proposition": "The 1981 second edition is bibliographically identified, but its formula pages were not textually collated against 1971.",

"span_ids": [

"span-silent-1981-metadata",

"span-author-qualification"

],

"status": "identity-closed-content-unresolved"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-hegstrom-rebuttal",

"proposition": "Hegstrom's direct all-channel reconsideration reported message-specific equations unlike both the fixed formula and one another.",

"span_ids": [

"span-hegstrom-design",

"span-hegstrom-result"

],

"status": "material-counterevidence"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-related-context",

"proposition": "Related Argyle experiments found nonverbal dominance but materially different ratios when cue strengths and attitude dimensions changed.",

"span_ids": [

"span-argyle-1970-abstract",

"span-argyle-1971-experiment-one",

"span-argyle-1971-experiment-two"

],

"status": "material-qualification-not-direct-replication"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-propagation",

"proposition": "The broad rule propagated through public institutional material and a bounded web sample, but propagation supplies zero evidence that the scientific proposition is true.",

"span_ids": [

"span-lapakko-2007-63-of-79",

"span-lapakko-2007-limitations",

"span-hampshire-generalization",

"span-birmingham-generalization"

],

"status": "supported-as-propagation-only"

},

{

"claim_id": "claim-replication-search",

"proposition": "The bounded search found one direct all-channel rebuttal and related follow-ups, but no exact replication of the two-study derivation or validation of a universal fixed rule.",

"span_ids": [

"span-hegstrom-result",

"span-argyle-1971-experiment-two",

"span-lapakko-1997-abstract"

],

"status": "bounded-negative-result-not-exhaustive"

}

],

"counts": {

"claims": 11,

"derivations": 6,

"follow_up_objects": 5,

"lineage_edges": 11,

"lineage_groups": 6,

"participant_data_roots": 5,

"propagation_objects": 3,

"quote_minimal_spans": 40,

"source_records": 12

},

"derivation_inputs": {

"origin_of_verbal_coefficient": "unresolved-no-credit",

"p2_facial_coefficient": 1.5,

"p2_vocal_coefficient": 1.03,

"proposed_facial": 0.55,

"proposed_verbal": 0.07,

"proposed_vocal": 0.38

},

"derivations": [

{

"derivation_id": "derive-proposed-sum",

"equation": "0.07 + 0.38 + 0.55",

"inputs": [

0.07,

0.38,

0.55

],

"interpretation": "The printed proposal is normalized to one.",

"result": 1.0

},

{

"derivation_id": "derive-proposed-facial-vocal-ratio",

"equation": "0.55 / 0.38",

"inputs": [

0.55,

0.38

],

"interpretation": "Facial-to-vocal ratio implied by the printed proposal.",

"result": 1.4473684210526316

},

{

"derivation_id": "derive-p2-facial-vocal-ratio",

"equation": "1.50 / 1.03",

"inputs": [

1.5,

1.03

],

"interpretation": "Facial-to-vocal ratio from P2's reported regression.",

"result": 1.4563106796116505

},

{

"derivation_id": "derive-ratio-difference",

"equation": "abs((1.50 / 1.03) - (0.55 / 0.38))",

"inputs": [

1.4563106796116505,

1.4473684210526316

],

"interpretation": "The reported regression and printed proposal are close, not identical.",

"result": 0.008942258559018867

},

{

"derivation_id": "derive-implied-vocal-verbal-ratio",

"equation": "0.38 / 0.07",

"inputs": [

0.38,

0.07

],

"interpretation": "Reverse-engineered ratio implied by the proposal; it does not recover the missing source derivation of 0.07.",

"result": 5.428571428571428

},

{

"derivation_id": "derive-p2-allocation-with-seven-reserved",

"equation": "allocate 0.93 in the ratio 1.50:1.03",

"inputs": {

"p2_facial": 1.5,

"p2_vocal": 1.03,

"remaining": 0.9299999999999999,

"reserved_verbal": 0.07

},

"interpretation": "Sensitivity reconstruction only. Reserving 0.07 is an assumption, not a derivation supplied by P1 or P2.",

"result": {

"facial": 0.5513833992094861,

"verbal": 0.07,

"vocal": 0.3786166007905138

}

}

],

"evidence_cutoff": "2026-08-27",

"follow_up_ledger": [

{

"disposition": "include as material direct all-channel rebuttal",

"full_text_status": "closed; abstract-level result only",

"source_id": "source-hegstrom-1979"

},

{

"direct_replication": false,

"disposition": "include as related superiority-inferiority boundary evidence",

"source_id": "source-argyle-1970"

},

{

"direct_replication": false,

"disposition": "include as related friendly-hostile context-dependence evidence",

"source_id": "source-argyle-1971"

},

{

"disposition": "include as methodological critique",

"participant_data": false,

"source_id": "source-lapakko-1997"

},

{

"disposition": "include as propagation study and critique",

"scientific_rule_evidence_credit": 0,

"source_id": "source-lapakko-2007"

}

],

"lineage_edges": [

{

"dimension": "participant",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-participant",

"effect_on_independence": "Count two participant-data roots because the papers report separate samples, while withholding any stronger person-level independence claim because participant identities are unavailable.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-wiener-sample",

"span-ferris-sample"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

],

"status": "distinct-reported-groups-overlap-not-disclosed",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "speaker",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-speaker",

"effect_on_independence": "The named speakers do not overlap, but P2 leaves one author-speaker unnamed; speaker independence is therefore not fully closed.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-wiener-speakers",

"span-ferris-models-speakers"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

],

"status": "named-speakers-differ-author-speaker-unresolved",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "author",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-author-social",

"effect_on_independence": "Albert Mehrabian is common to both papers and P1 acknowledges Susan Ferris; the papers are not independent author programs.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-wiener-authors",

"span-wiener-ferris-acknowledgment",

"span-ferris-authors"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

],

"status": "known-shared-program",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "grant",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-grant",

"effect_on_independence": "Both report University of California Grant 2189; their Public Health Service grant identifiers differ. This is shared-program evidence, not shared-participant proof.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-wiener-grants",

"span-ferris-grants"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

],

"status": "known-shared-grant-plus-distinct-grants",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "stimulus",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-stimulus",

"effect_on_independence": "P2 reuses the neutral word maybe, which was one of P1's selected words; the material lineage is partially shared.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-wiener-single-words",

"span-ferris-maybe"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

],

"status": "known-overlap-neutral-word",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "material",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-material",

"effect_on_independence": "Both use prepared female-voice attitude recordings; P2 adds facial photographs and does not establish reuse of P1's recordings.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-wiener-stimulus-recording",

"span-ferris-models-speakers",

"span-ferris-maybe",

"span-ferris-design"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

],

"status": "related-recorded-attitude-materials-not-identical",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "method",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-method",

"effect_on_independence": "Both infer attitude from experimentally crossed channel cues; P1 crosses words and tone, while P2 crosses face and tone.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-wiener-single-words",

"span-wiener-instructions",

"span-ferris-design"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

],

"status": "known-related-crossed-channel-design",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "scale",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-scale",

"effect_on_independence": "Both operationalize attitude as liking versus disliking, while their displayed scale procedures are not treated as identical instruments.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-wiener-scale",

"span-ferris-scale"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

],

"status": "known-shared-liking-construct-different-range",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "citation",

"edge_id": "edge-p2-cites-p1",

"effect_on_independence": "P2 is a declared continuation that cites P1 and later integrates its result; it is not an independent replication of the three-number rule.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-ferris-citation-p1",

"span-ferris-proposal"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

],

"status": "known-explicit-citation",

"to_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967"

]

},

{

"dimension": "book-edition",

"edge_id": "edge-silent-messages-editions",

"effect_on_independence": "The editions are one authorial work lineage and supply no new participant evidence; formula continuity into 1981 remains unresolved.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-silent-1971-liking",

"span-silent-1981-metadata"

],

"from_ids": [

"edition-silent-messages-1971"

],

"status": "same-work-edition-lineage-content-not-collated",

"to_ids": [

"edition-silent-messages-1981-second"

]

},

{

"dimension": "derivation",

"edge_id": "edge-p1-p2-proposal-derivation",

"effect_on_independence": "The .07/.38/.55 statement combines linked studies in P2's discussion. It is not a third participant-data root, and the exact .07 derivation remains no-credit.",

"evidence_span_ids": [

"span-ferris-citation-p1",

"span-ferris-regression",

"span-ferris-proposal"

],

"from_ids": [

"work-mehrabian-wiener-1967",

"work-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

],

"status": "known-cross-study-proposal-missing-verbal-step",

"to_ids": [

"claim-three-coefficient-proposal"

]

}

],

"lineages": [

{

"dependence_dimensions": [

"shared author",

"related grants",

"UCLA pools",

"like-dislike scale",

"artificial crossed-channel method",

"female-recorded stimuli",

"shared neutral word maybe"

],

"independence": "Distinct papers and participant groups inside one linked UCLA research program; P2 cites and integrates P1. Participant and speaker overlap across papers is not reported.",

"lineage_id": "lineage-mehrabian-original-program",

"participant_data_roots": 2,

"source_ids": [

"source-mehrabian-wiener-1967",

"source-mehrabian-ferris-1967"

],

"work_count": 2

},

{

"independence": "Author interpretation and book-edition lineage; no new participant evidence.",

"lineage_id": "lineage-mehrabian-interpretation",

"participant_data_roots": 0,

"source_ids": [

"source-silent-messages-1971",

"source-silent-messages-1981",

"source-mehrabian-author-qualification"

],

"work_count": 2

},

{

"independence": "Separate author and all-channel research program; exact full-text participant and material details remain inaccessible.",

"lineage_id": "lineage-hegstrom-rebuttal",

"participant_data_roots": 1,

"source_ids": [

"source-hegstrom-1979"

],

"work_count": 1

},

{

"independence": "Two related Oxford studies with shared author/program and different attitude dimensions; related evidence, not exact replication.",

"lineage_id": "lineage-argyle-related-program",

"participant_data_roots": 2,

"source_ids": [

"source-argyle-1970",

"source-argyle-1971"

],

"work_count": 2

},

{

"independence": "Same-author critique program; the 2007 website sample measures circulation, not scientific effect.",

"lineage_id": "lineage-lapakko-critique-propagation",

"participant_data_roots": 0,

"source_ids": [

"source-lapakko-1997",

"source-lapakko-2007"

],

"work_count": 2

},

{

"independence": "Separate institutional publications, each assigned zero empirical evidence credit.",

"lineage_id": "lineage-institutional-recirculation",

"participant_data_roots": 0,

"source_ids": [

"source-hampshire-pcc-2022",

"source-birmingham-events-2020"

],

"work_count": 2

}

],

"propagation_ledger": [

{

"disposition": "bounded empirical propagation study",

"limitation": "Purposive convenience sample using one search engine; not a prevalence estimate.",

"object_id": "propagation-lapakko-web-sample",

"scientific_rule_evidence_credit": 0,

"source_id": "source-lapakko-2007"

},

{

"disposition": "institutional broad recirculation",

"object_id": "propagation-hampshire-pcc",

"scientific_rule_evidence_credit": 0,

"source_id": "source-hampshire-pcc-2022"

},

{

"disposition": "institutional broad recirculation",

"object_id": "propagation-birmingham-events",

"scientific_rule_evidence_credit": 0,

"source_id": "source-birmingham-events-2020"

}

],

"question": "What did the 7-38-55 weighting represent in the examined primary editions, how was it derived, and what supports or undercuts its circulation as a general rule of communication?",

"recommendation": {

"author": "GO",

"independent_review": "pending",

"prohibited_interpretations": [

"93 percent of all communication is nonverbal",

"the two 1967 papers jointly tested three channels in one experiment",

"the coefficients are universally stable across messages, populations, cultures, or tasks",

"the missing .07 derivation has been recovered",

"recirculation counts are independent scientific support"

],

"rationale": "Proceed to a later Case 004 dossier if independent review closes the exact spans and calculations. The defensible case is that a narrow cross-study weighting was genuinely proposed, then generalized far beyond its scope, while a direct all-channel rebuttal found message-specific equations and the .07 derivation remains unresolved."

},

"retrieval_gaps": [

"The exact P1 scan URL returned HTTP 403 during fresh revalidation; only the prior exact capture is bound.",

"The P2 university carrier is session-dependent and timed out during fresh revalidation; an alternate indexed readback confirms the decisive final paragraph.",

"The exact origin and reported calculation for the .07 verbal coefficient remain unresolved.",

"The 1981 second-edition formula pages were not lawfully inspected or collated against 1971.",

"Hegstrom 1979 full text was closed; the direct rebuttal result is represented at abstract level.",

"Original recordings, facial photographs, participant-level data, coding sheets, and analysis code were not located.",

"The Highland Council propagation URL recorded in EM-0027 now returns HTTP 404 and receives no current capture credit.",

"The University of Liverpool page no longer exposes the previously observed correction text and is excluded from the packet."

],

"schema": "https://epistemedia.org/research/source-records-v1.json",

"source_records": [

{

"authors": [

"Albert Mehrabian",

"Morton Wiener"

],

"captures": [

{

"bytes": 563059,

"capture_id": "capture-wiener-scan-20260823",

"captured_at": "2026-08-23T09:31:00Z",

"media_type": "application/pdf",

"revalidation": "Exact URL returned HTTP 403 on 2026-08-27; previously captured bytes remain the inspected carrier, not a durable public artifact.",

"sha256": "d2c6cac3f178ca32a85ec29a177c2c004890333221e708fb27d6379c9b8e4ee8",

"url_role": "readable third-party scan"

},

{

"bytes": 1953,

"capture_id": "capture-wiener-crossref-20260827",

"media_type": "application/json",

"sha256": "d33e7cec04395ba788ac637b9c64a9d8e9c1a898ebe4bf1d8b94a7008432b8ed",

"url": "https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1037%2Fh0024532"

},

{

"bytes": 10328,

"capture_id": "capture-wiener-openalex-20260827",

"media_type": "application/json",

"sha256": "5d119a09b6db6b212eb5b1305af88f3a5e3b568085ebb9d5c42c9f460e23e743",

"url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/https:%2F%2Fdoi.org%2F10.1037%2Fh0024532"

},

{

"bytes": 2822,

"capture_id": "capture-wiener-pubmed-20260827",

"media_type": "application/xml",

"sha256": "587a02810fc8a4f29c34b7486c336cf954aadf3f460f6bb45dbad1307758e884",

"url": "https://eutils.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/eutils/efetch.fcgi?db=pubmed&id=6032751&retmode=xml"

}

],

"container": "Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 6(1), 109-114",

"edition_id": "edition-mehrabian-wiener-jpsp-6-1",

"identifiers": {

"doi": "10.1037/h0024532",

"pmid": "6032751"

},

"license_treatment": "No open article license was confirmed. The readable scan is not redistributed; only identity, digest, access history, and quote-minimal spans are retained.",

"publication_date": "1967-05",

"source_id": "source-mehrabian-wiener-1967",

"spans": [

{

"fields": {

"author_1": "Albert Mehrabian",

"author_2": "Morton Wiener"

},

"locator": "journal p.109; PDF p.1, title block",

"quote": "authors=Albert Mehrabian; Morton Wiener",

"quote_sha256": "9f86c9e0e9a0912dc98e89492e403b3604c93a4c4b291594c31b9dff098be20d",

"span_id": "span-wiener-authors",

"span_kind": "structured_transcription",

"supports": "The title block identifies the P1 authors for author-lineage comparison."

},

{

"locator": "journal p.109; PDF p.1, footnote 1",

"quote": "This study was supported in part by University of California Grant 2189 and in part by United States Public Health Service Grant M-3860.",

"quote_sha256": "f36d310eb93d14dc5a0d0761bcfd5196da637264c310574f76c7c212cb7efadb",

"span_id": "span-wiener-grants",

"supports": "P1 reports the two funding identifiers used in the grant-lineage comparison."

},

{

"locator": "journal p.109; PDF p.1, footnote 1",

"quote": "Sylvia Norman and Dena Sugar, who acted as speakers in the recording of the experimental conditions",

"quote_sha256": "5fe2933c7f2a1e18b24f4421d9dd0180582f30887cd123618fe848945db1a85a",

"span_id": "span-wiener-speakers",

"supports": "P1 names its two recorded speakers."

},

{

"locator": "journal p.109; PDF p.1, footnote 1",

"quote": "Susan Ferris, for her comments on the manuscript",

"quote_sha256": "400ac8d3f7b66282787262afc078cb26a6b8090d7d1b3d9cc1cbafd2ba590e21",

"span_id": "span-wiener-ferris-acknowledgment",

"supports": "P1 acknowledges the future P2 coauthor, establishing a social/program link beyond the shared Mehrabian authorship."

},

{

"locator": "journal p.109; PDF p.1, abstract",

"quote": "inconsistent communication of attitude in 2 components of a message",

"quote_sha256": "32365cd2cac9626ee55ebdea19048ae1a2b9b70801559c91a3b26916b5d0c108",

"span_id": "span-wiener-target",

"supports": "The experiment concerns a two-component attitude message, not communication in general."

},

{

"locator": "journal pp.109-110; PDF pp.1-2, abstract and Materials",

"quote": "single-word contents were each combined with 3 degrees of attitude communicated in tone of voice ... the words MAYBE, REALLY, and OH were selected as comparable instances of neutral contents",

"quote_sha256": "488d310c64fb4445de8193a17dce78b0fe41533b54446429038687fa082b1e97",

"segments": [

"single-word contents were each combined with 3 degrees of attitude communicated in tone of voice",

"the words MAYBE, REALLY, and OH were selected as comparable instances of neutral contents"

],

"span_id": "span-wiener-single-words",

"span_kind": "verbatim_segments",

"supports": "The verbal stimuli were isolated words crossed with vocal tone, and maybe was one of P1's three selected neutral words."

},

{

"locator": "journal p.110; PDF p.2, Method/Subjects",

"quote": "Forty-five subjects were used in the initial selection ... A second group of 30 subjects was used in the remaining portion of the study.",

"quote_sha256": "4b7b80fe130fafffae5829f4d71f7bb0dd795103ea0d0601c019d77b648efd80",

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