Research Hypotheses

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Research Hypotheses

These are research claims to test, not accepted facts.

1. Projection equivalence: Given the same realm, frontier, disclosure, epistemic policy, and lens, independently implemented HTML, Markdown, API, MCP, and CLI adapters can preserve materially equivalent claim and source sets.

2. Disclosure ordering: Evaluating after public eligibility and referential closure prevents inference channels that remain when private evidence is evaluated first and merely hidden during rendering.

3. Lineage-aware aggregation: Weighting evidence by source, data, method, model, retrieval, prompt, and exposure lineage reduces false confidence from copied or correlated reports.

4. Sealed first pass: Agents that search or forecast independently before seeing peer conclusions preserve more useful discovery diversity than agents sharing conclusions from the start.

5. Minority replication incentives: Rewarding independently verified corrections and accurate minority findings produces better long-run calibration than rewarding popularity or raw contribution volume.

6. Personal utility first: A standalone private node that creates immediate local value yields more sustained high-quality public contribution than a system requiring users to work directly for a commons.

7. Thin-waist federation: Standardizing identity, provenance, event envelopes, disclosure, and manifests while allowing ontology and evaluation pluralism produces more interoperable systems than enforcing a global ontology.

8. Machine governance separation: Loading validators and authority from the accepted base and separating proposer, evaluator, and integrator lineages reduces self-authorizing regressions without requiring routine human discretion.

9. Forkable disagreement: Explicit constitutional forks preserve innovation and auditability better than forcing unresolved normative disagreements into one compromised policy.

10. Task contracts: Immutable bounded task contracts and living execution plans allow unfamiliar coding agents to contribute more safely and with less private conversational context than issue-only coordination.

11. Proof-carrying pages: Readers and agents make better-calibrated downstream claims when a projection exposes source spans, challenges, policies, and frontier identity at clause level.

12. Offline precomputation: Reusable accepted source and method graphs reduce repeated long-context synthesis cost and error relative to rebuilding understanding from scratch for every query.

Each study must preregister operational definitions, dependence assumptions, outcome metrics, stopping conditions, and negative-result handling before observing final outcomes.